Casino Trading
Gambling?
- A real-life example of a successful casino operator in the financial markets is Morgan Stanley's proprietary trading desk that recently revealed that they had zero days of trading losses in Q3 2013. The casino always wins. The markets are not a level playing field. The casino's risk is always tightly limited by table stakes (maximum bet size).
- Learn what it takes to create a profitable trading system that replicates the business model casino's use to consistently beat the players over the long term.
Is day trading gambling?
Monarch Casino & Resort shares were trading up 1.74% at $56.18. The stock has a 52-week high of $57.57 and a 52-week low of $12.83. Red Rock Resorts RRR 0.9% along with its subsidiary is a gaming.
In a word, YES.
But let's examine this more closely and see why I consider it tobe gambling and yet still a viable business.
What is gambling?
Some dictionary definitions:
- the act of playing for stakes in the hope of winning (includingthe payment of a price for a chance to win a prize)
- a: to play a game for money or property b: to bet on anuncertain outcome
- to stake something on a contingency : take a chance
Some assumptions
In order to make a comparison between day trading and gamblingI'm going to broadly define 2 types of day trading and 2 types ofgambling and use examples for each.
For my gambling choices I take the casino games of roulette andblackjack because I feel that more people reading this article willbe familiar with these two games of chance than any others. (Youmay be a poker player and that can be substituted for blackjack.)Roulette has fixed odds of winning and a fixed payout. Blackjackhas variable odds of winning and a fixed payout.
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For day trading I chose the mini-sized Dow ($5) Futures (YM).This instrument has variable odds of winning and trading it can bestructured such that it has a fixed payout similar to blackjack androulette. I also define two day trading methods in order to makethe comparison. The first day trading method is calledrandom and using this method both direction and time of entryis randomly chosen. The second day trading method is calledsignaled and using this method both the direction and time ofentry is based on a predefined signal. Both methods of day tradinguse a 20 point target and stop.
This leaves us with two types of gambling:
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- roulette
- blackjack
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and two types of day trading
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- random
- signaled